The placeConstituency · North West · Electorate 77,863 · 2023 boundaries

Carlisle.

Labour Party MP Julie Minns holds the seat on 39.4% of the vote.

Member of ParliamentJulie Minns · Labour Party
CouncilCumberland
Boundary set2023
ONS codeE14001152
Electorate · 2024
77.9k
Registered to vote
2024 GE — winner
39.4%
Labour Party · +11.3pp over Con
Settlements
8
Largest: Carlisle
Crime · per 1k pop · 3mo
26.6
data.police.uk · 12mo rolling
Dispatch
2 Jun 2026

Carlisle's MP has broken with Labour twice on the Terminally Ill Adults Bill -- opposing its Second Reading in November 2024, then in May 2025 backing an amendment that would let employers such as religious hospices block their staff from facilitating assisted dying. On the same day as that second rebel vote, she also voted against a closure motion used to curtail further debate on the bill. These are her only departures from the Labour line in nearly 520 votes, making her a 99.3% party-line voter overall -- but her dissent has been consistent and principled on this single issue.

Her parliamentary record is active without being exceptional. An 85% voting participation rate sits a little below the Commons average, and her 219 contributions across 176 debates show steady engagement. Economy and jobs dominate her speeches, followed by local government, health, and social care -- a pattern consistent with her lobbying for MOD Longtown to receive munitions factory investment and raising illegal shops on Carlisle's high streets at PMQs. Her stance scores show she votes more sceptically than the average Labour MP on parliamentary scrutiny questions, and less aligned with welfare expansion than her colleagues, though the gaps are modest.

The clearest picture of Minns comes from local coverage rather than Westminster drama. She is Carlisle's first female MP and has generated consistent positive local press -- notably championing a private member's bill on accessible voting for visually impaired constituents. Coverage across 184 articles over the past 90 days spans crime, local economy, and transport but carries near-neutral sentiment, suggesting solid if unspectacular local visibility. She sits on no select committees. Data on her private member's bill progress is limited.

39.4%
Lab vote · 2024 GE
1
Council overlapping the seat
16
Wards · 16 councillors
§ 01The local picture — wards.16 wards · 16 councillors

Ward-level direction-of-travel: who controls what, who flipped recently, who holds the line.

WardLatest winnerVotesCouncilLast cycle
Belah Helen Davison944Cumberland LabMay 2022
Belle Vue Abdul Harid788Cumberland LabMay 2022
Botcherby Robert William Betton553Cumberland LabMay 2022
Brampton Mike Mitchelson752Cumberland LabMay 2022
Castle Anne Glendinning562Cumberland LabMay 2022
Corby Hayton Roger Dobson1,090Cumberland LabMay 2022
Currock Lisa Brown630Cumberland LabMay 2022
Denton Holme Christopher John Southward779Cumberland LabMay 2022
Harraby North Justin Robert McDermott455Cumberland LabJun 2024
Harraby South Lucy Patrick634Cumberland LabMay 2022
Houghton Irthington John Mallinson1,024Cumberland LabMay 2022
Longtown Tim Pickstone949Cumberland LabMay 2022
Morton Anne Quilter630Cumberland LabMay 2022
Stanwix Urban Brian Wernham1,472Cumberland LabMay 2022
Upperby Chris Wills744Cumberland LabMay 2022
Yewdale Jeanette Maria Whalen944Cumberland LabMay 2022

Source · Democracy Club · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (CC BY-SA 4.0)

§ 02Settlements.8 named places

The seat’s population is concentrated in Carlisle (74,818), with Rural & dispersed (11,897) as the second pole. Total population across named built-up areas: 101,689.

city 74,818town 11,897village 14,974

Source · ONS Built-Up Areas · Census 2021

SettlementPop.Class
Carlisle74,818city
Rural & dispersed11,897town
Brampton (Carlisle)4,545village
Longtown3,018village
Scotby2,184village
Heads Nook2,159village
Showing 6 of 8·All 8 settlements
§ 03Demographics.Census 2021 · vs national avg

Headline indicators.

IndicatorLocalNationalΔ
Employment rate57.7%57.1%+1%
Owner-occupied66.2%63.1%+5%
Private rented18.3%20.0%-9%
Social rented15.5%16.8%-8%

Ethnicity.

White96.7%
Asian1.5%
Black0.3%
Mixed0.9%
Other0.6%

Source · Census 2021

Population by age & sexCensus 2021 · 18 bands · click to expand
Male 49.0% Female 51.0% Median seat
MaleAgeFemale
85+
80-84
75-79
70-74
65-69
60-64
55-59
50-54
45-49
40-44
35-39
30-34
25-29
20-24
16-19
10-15
5-9
0-4

Source · Census 2021 (ONS) · % of usual residents; tick marks the median seat per band

§ 04Local economy.Income · tax · businesses · schools
Median income
£25,800
HMRC SPI · 2024
Mean income
£30,700
HMRC SPI · 2024
Businesses
4,785
VAT/PAYE-registered
Schools
52
41 primary · 5 secondary
GCSE pass
59.5%
Attainment 8: 42.2

Income tax contribution.

Total income tax£187m
Taxpayers51,000
Median per taxpayer£2,380
Mean per taxpayer£3,700

Source · HMRC SPI · ±8% confidence

Where the money flows back in.

For council finance & suppliers

This constituency is served by Cumberland. Each council’s service spend, peer rank and supplier list lives on its own page — open from the meta block above or the compass strip below.

For household tax breakdown

Move the income slider on My place to see income tax, NI, VAT and council tax against your earnings — the household lens.

§ 05Recorded crime.data.police.uk · 12-month rolling

Headline rate.

Per 1k pop · 3mo
26.6
+28% vs national
Monthly avg / 1k
8.9
12-month rolling
Top category
Violence & sexual offences
44% of recorded crime

By category.

Violence & sexual offences11.7
Public order2.9
Shoplifting2.4
Criminal damage & arson2.3
Other theft1.6
Drugs1.6
Anti-social behaviour1.2

Source · data.police.uk · 3-month rate per 1,000 pop

Showing 7 of 15·All 15 categories — full monthly trend & settlement breakdown
§ 06Election history.5 contests · created on 2023 boundaries

2024 — full result.

CandidateVotes%
Julie MinnsWONLab18,12939.4
John StevensonCon12,92928.1
Stephen WardRef9,29520.2
Brian WernhamLD2,9826.5
Gavin HawktonGrn1,9224.2
Sean ReedInd3030.7
Rachel HaytonInd2440.5
Thomas LynestriderInd1750.4

Turnout 45,979

Prior contests.

YearWinner%
2019John StevensonCon55.2
2017John StevensonCon49.9
2015John StevensonCon44.3
2010Stevenson, JohnCon39.3
Sources, methods & last update
Method The dispatch paragraphs are AI-generated from the public sources listed below. Every figure links to its source. If we’re wrong, please tell us — corrections within 48 hours.
BoundariesONS Open Geography Portal
2023 boundary review
Wards & councilsLGBCE · Democracy Club
DCLEAPIL v1.0 (CC BY-SA 4.0)
SettlementsONS Built-Up Areas
Census 2021
DemographicsONS · Nomis · Census 2021
National avg over 575 seats
Income & taxHMRC SPI
±8% confidence
SchoolsDfE · attainment data
Crimedata.police.uk
LSOA-aggregated · rolling 12mo
ElectionsElectoral Commission