North Cotswolds.
Conservative and Unionist Party MP Geoffrey Clifton-Brown holds the seat on 34.7% of the vote — a split-council geography across 3 councils.
2 Jun 2026
One of the Conservatives' longest-serving MPs, Clifton-Brown has broken from his party four times since last summer -- more than most of his colleagues. His most consistent deviations back the Tobacco and Vapes Bill at both Second and Third Reading, a public health measure the Conservative majority opposed. He has also voted to protect Lords amendments on the Pension Schemes Bill, opposing government powers to direct pension fund investments, and sided with the Lords on the Children's Wellbeing and Schools Bill. His visit to Ukraine on the conflict's four-year anniversary, followed by a pledge to report back to Parliament, drew local coverage, as did his vocal opposition to what he called rushed housing targets threatening Cotswolds farmland.
At 98.8% party alignment overall, these breaks are selective rather than systematic. His participation rate -- 67%, or 344 of 515 votes -- sits below the Commons average. Speeches cluster heavily around economy and jobs (31 contributions), defence (20), and fiscal policy (13), consistent with his role chairing the Public Accounts Committee, which scrutinises government spending. His voting profile shows very strong alignment with pro-business and anti-tax positions, and he scores 19 percentage points above his party average on opposing assisted dying -- backing that pattern, one of his rebel votes was procedural opposition to a clause in the Terminally Ill Adults Bill.
His chairmanship of the Public Accounts Committee gives him a platform beyond backbench advocacy, and local news -- rural funding, shooting regulations, hospitality tax relief -- reflects consistent focus on constituency economic interests. He also sits on the Liaison Committee. News sentiment data for the past 90 days is mixed, with transport and culture-sport coverage scoring neutrally and MP-performance coverage running positive. Parliamentary data covers activity to mid-May 2026.
Ward-level direction-of-travel: who controls what, who flipped recently, who holds the line. Each ward links to the council that runs it.
| Ward | Latest winner | Votes | Council | Last cycle |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Badgeworth | Robert John Edward Vines | 347 | Tewkesbury LD | May 2023 |
| Bisley | Martin Andrew Brown | 546 | Stroud Grn | May 2024 |
| Blockley | Clare Victoria Turner | 518 | Cotswold LD | May 2023 |
| Bourton Vale | Len Wilkins | 518 | Cotswold LD | May 2023 |
| Bourton Village | Jon Brian Wareing | 425 | Cotswold LD | May 2023 |
| Brockworth East(2 seats) | Mills · Mills | 1,073 | Tewkesbury LD | May 2023 |
| Brockworth West(2 seats) | Carter · Harwood | 1,271 | Tewkesbury LD | May 2023 |
| Campden Vale(2 seats) | Blomefield · Stowe | 2,529 | Cotswold LD | May 2023 |
| Chedworth Churn Valley | Paul Richard Hodgkinson | 576 | Cotswold LD | May 2023 |
| Coln Valley | John Anthony David Fowles | 480 | Cotswold LD | May 2023 |
| Ermin | Julia Judd | 581 | Cotswold LD | May 2023 |
| Fosseridge | David Cunningham | 563 | Cotswold LD | May 2023 |
| Minchinhampton(2 seats) | Turner · Thomas | 2,219 | Stroud Grn | May 2024 |
| Moreton East | David Angus Grant Jenkinson | 436 | Cotswold LD | May 2023 |
| Moreton West | Daryl Corps | 451 | Cotswold LD | May 2023 |
| Northleach | Tony Dale | 511 | Cotswold LD | May 2023 |
| Painswick Upton(3 seats) | Luff · Sargeant · Kennedy | 3,908 | Stroud Grn | May 2024 |
| Sandywell | Jeremy Edward Theyer | 448 | Cotswold LD | May 2023 |
| Shurdington | George Malcom Porter | 354 | Tewkesbury LD | May 2023 |
| Stow | Dilys Neill | 436 | Cotswold LD | May 2023 |
| The Rissingtons | Andrew Maclean | 383 | Cotswold LD | May 2023 |
Source · Democracy Club · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (CC BY-SA 4.0)
The seat’s population is concentrated in Rural & dispersed (25,453), with Brockworth (12,470) as the second pole. Total population across named built-up areas: 90,195.
Source · ONS Built-Up Areas · Census 2021
| Settlement | Pop. | Class |
|---|---|---|
| Rural & dispersed | 25,453 | large town |
| Brockworth | 12,470 | town |
| Churchdown | 10,850 | town |
| Quedgeley and Hardwicke | 5,590 | town |
| Bourton-on-the-Water | 4,567 | village |
| Minchinhampton | 4,519 | village |
Headline indicators.
| Indicator | Local | National | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Employment rate | 57.9% | 57.1% | +1% |
| Owner-occupied | 71.1% | 63.1% | +13% |
| Private rented | 15.9% | 20.0% | -20% |
| Social rented | 12.9% | 16.8% | -23% |
Ethnicity.
Source · Census 2021
Population by age & sexCensus 2021 · 18 bands · click to expand
Source · Census 2021 (ONS) · % of usual residents; tick marks the median seat per band
Income tax contribution.
| Total income tax | £581m |
| Taxpayers | 54,000 |
| Median per taxpayer | £3,170 |
| Mean per taxpayer | £10,800 |
Source · HMRC SPI · ±8% confidence
Where the money flows back in.
This constituency is served by Cotswold, Stroud and Tewkesbury. Each council’s service spend, peer rank and supplier list lives on its own page — open from the meta block above or the compass strip below.
Move the income slider on My place to see income tax, NI, VAT and council tax against your earnings — the household lens.
Headline rate.
By category.
Source · data.police.uk · 3-month rate per 1,000 pop
2024 — full result.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Geoffrey Clifton-BrownWON | Con | 17,426 | 34.7 |
| Paul Hodgkinson | LD | 14,069 | 28.0 |
| Anna Mainwaring | Lab | 8,593 | 17.1 |
| Jason Preece | Ref | 6,502 | 12.9 |
| Chloe Turner | Grn | 3,191 | 6.3 |
| Jean Blackbeard | Ind | 448 | 0.9 |
Turnout 50,229
Prior contests.
Created on the 2023 boundary review. 2024 General Election was the first contest on these boundaries.
Sources, methods & last update
2023 boundary review
DCLEAPIL v1.0 (CC BY-SA 4.0)
Census 2021
National avg over 575 seats
±8% confidence
LSOA-aggregated · rolling 12mo