Grantham and Bourne.
Conservative and Unionist Party MP Gareth Davies holds the seat on 36.4% of the vote — a split-council geography across 2 councils.
2 Jun 2026
A steady Conservative loyalist, Davies has spent recent months fighting a very specific local battle: the proposed closure of Prince William of Gloucester Barracks in his constituency. He launched a public petition, wrote to ministers, and published a piece in January arguing the case on national security grounds rather than local sentiment -- framing the campaign around military readiness at a time of heightened geopolitical risk. He has also pushed for a community diagnostic centre in Bourne, building on an existing facility in Grantham that he credits with delivering over 100,000 tests, and called for the inheritance tax changes affecting family farms to be scrapped entirely.
In Parliament, Davies has voted with his party on every recorded occasion -- a 100% alignment rate -- and his 65% participation rate sits below the Commons average. His voting profile is consistently pro-business and anti-tax, with strong support for Lords scrutiny and parliamentary accountability; he backed the opposition motion to refer the Prime Minister to the Privileges Committee over the Mandelson appointment. His speeches cluster heavily around the economy, fiscal policy, and energy. He deviates from his Conservative colleagues most notably on armed forces welfare, sitting 31 percentage points above the party average -- a gap that maps directly onto his barracks campaign.
Davies has no current committee roles. Local news coverage over the past 90 days is high in volume but broadly neutral in tone, spanning crime, community, and transport issues rather than generating strongly positive or negative sentiment. His specialist interests appear to be economic and fiscal policy, with defence emerging as a secondary focus driven largely by constituency need. No rebel votes are on record.
Ward-level direction-of-travel: who controls what, who flipped recently, who holds the line. Each ward links to the council that runs it.
| Ward | Latest winner | Votes | Council | Last cycle |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aveland | Richard Dixon-Warren | 457 | South Kesteven Con | May 2023 |
| Belmont(2 seats) | Stooke · Gadd | 960 | South Kesteven Con | May 2023 |
| Belvoir(2 seats) | Bosworth · Leadenham | 1,692 | South Kesteven Con | May 2023 |
| Bourne Austerby(3 seats) | Baker · Fellows · Baker | 1,781 | South Kesteven Con | May 2023 |
| Bourne East(2 seats) | Knowles · Lane | 772 | South Kesteven Con | May 2023 |
| Bourne West(2 seats) | Kelly · Crawford | 1,229 | South Kesteven Con | May 2023 |
| Grantham Arnoldfield(2 seats) | Stokes · Martin | 978 | South Kesteven Con | May 2023 |
| Grantham Barrowby Gate(2 seats) | Knight · Whittington | 912 | South Kesteven Con | May 2023 |
| Grantham Earlesfield(2 seats) | Steptoe · Cunnington | 606 | South Kesteven Con | May 2023 |
| Grantham Harrowby(2 seats) | Noon · Selby | 994 | South Kesteven Con | May 2023 |
| Grantham Springfield(2 seats) | Manterfield · Shorrock | 665 | South Kesteven Con | May 2023 |
| Grantham St Vincents(3 seats) | Morgan · Jeal · Ellis | 1,437 | South Kesteven Con | May 2023 |
| Grantham St Wulframs | Matt Bailey | 361 | South Kesteven Con | Nov 2023 |
| Heckington Rural | Christine Collard | 425 | North Kesteven Con | Mar 2024 |
| Helpringham Osbournby | Russell Michael Jackson | 616 | North Kesteven Con | May 2023 |
| Lincrest | Sarah Joan Trotter | 564 | South Kesteven Con | May 2019 |
| Loveden Heath | Penny Milnes | 539 | South Kesteven Con | May 2023 |
| Morton | Sue Woolley | 416 | South Kesteven Con | May 2019 |
| Peascliffe Ridgeway(2 seats) | Stokes · Stephens | 1,058 | South Kesteven Con | May 2023 |
| Toller | Murray Frank Turner | 256 | South Kesteven Con | May 2023 |
| Viking(2 seats) | Wood · Wood | 1,992 | South Kesteven Con | May 2023 |
Source · Democracy Club · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (CC BY-SA 4.0)
The seat’s population is concentrated in Grantham (44,617), with Bourne (17,989) as the second pole. Total population across named built-up areas: 99,274.
Source · ONS Built-Up Areas · Census 2021
| Settlement | Pop. | Class |
|---|---|---|
| Grantham | 44,617 | large town |
| Bourne | 17,989 | town |
| Rural & dispersed | 9,348 | town |
| Heckington | 3,634 | village |
| Morton (South Kesteven) | 2,999 | village |
| Billingborough | 2,643 | village |
Headline indicators.
| Indicator | Local | National | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Employment rate | 57.2% | 57.1% | 0% |
| Owner-occupied | 69.0% | 63.1% | +9% |
| Private rented | 18.3% | 20.0% | -8% |
| Social rented | 12.6% | 16.8% | -25% |
Ethnicity.
Source · Census 2021
Population by age & sexCensus 2021 · 18 bands · click to expand
Source · Census 2021 (ONS) · % of usual residents; tick marks the median seat per band
Income tax contribution.
| Total income tax | £300m |
| Taxpayers | 55,000 |
| Median per taxpayer | £2,520 |
| Mean per taxpayer | £5,460 |
Source · HMRC SPI · ±8% confidence
Where the money flows back in.
This constituency is served by South Kesteven and North Kesteven. Each council’s service spend, peer rank and supplier list lives on its own page — open from the meta block above or the compass strip below.
Move the income slider on My place to see income tax, NI, VAT and council tax against your earnings — the household lens.
Headline rate.
By category.
Source · data.police.uk · 3-month rate per 1,000 pop
2024 — full result.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gareth DaviesWON | Con | 16,770 | 36.4 |
| Vipul Bechar | Lab | 12,274 | 26.6 |
| Mike Rudkin | Ref | 9,393 | 20.4 |
| Anne Gayfer | Grn | 2,570 | 5.6 |
| John Vincent | LD | 2,027 | 4.4 |
| Ian Selby | Ind | 1,642 | 3.6 |
| Charmaine Morgan | Ind | 1,245 | 2.7 |
| Alexander Mitchell | Ind | 204 | 0.4 |
Turnout 46,125
Prior contests.
Created on the 2023 boundary review. 2024 General Election was the first contest on these boundaries.
Sources, methods & last update
2023 boundary review
DCLEAPIL v1.0 (CC BY-SA 4.0)
Census 2021
National avg over 575 seats
±8% confidence
LSOA-aggregated · rolling 12mo