Spelthorne.
Conservative and Unionist Party MP Lincoln Jopp holds the seat on 30.4% of the vote.
1 Jun 2026
Spelthorne's Conservative MP has been consistently active on the opposition front this parliamentary term, voting in April to refer Prime Minister Starmer to the Privileges Committee over the Mandelson appointment, and repeatedly backing House of Lords amendments against government positions on the English Devolution and Community Empowerment Bill, the Pension Schemes Bill, and the Northern Ireland Troubles carry-over motion. On pensions, Jopp opposed government powers to direct pension fund investments into private markets, arguing the reserve power risked poor returns for savers -- a position he holds more firmly than many Conservative colleagues, who back pension protection measures at 39% compared to his 0%. His most controversial moment came in October 2024, when Novara Media reported him expressing "awe" at Israel's Lebanon pager attacks, comments that drew condemnation from human rights organisations.
Jopp votes at 70% of divisions -- below the Commons average -- and has not once broken with his party. He leans strongly pro-business (93%), anti-tax-increases (93%), and backs Lords scrutiny of legislation (100%). His speeches, 516 contributions across 260 debates, cluster around economy and jobs, defence, and local government. His seat on the Defence Committee aligns with that focus.
Beyond Westminster, he has campaigned for Middlesex's return to the county map -- securing a ministerial commitment to consider it -- advocated for floating solar panels on reservoirs, and raised sudden unexplained death in childhood in Parliament on behalf of bereaved local families. He also called for a Surrey film industry university, though that remains aspirational. Recent local coverage is largely neutral in tone. Data on his deviations from party norms is available; detailed debate transcripts for some procedural Lords amendment votes are not.
Ward-level direction-of-travel: who controls what, who flipped recently, who holds the line.
| Ward | Latest winner | Votes | Council | Last cycle |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashford Common(3 seats) | Rutherford · Islam · Bhadye | 2,337 | Spelthorne LD | May 2023 |
| Ashford East | Sinead Mooney | 973 | Spelthorne LD | Jul 2024 |
| Ashford North Stanwell South(3 seats) | Buck · Geach · Beatty | 2,094 | Spelthorne LD | May 2023 |
| Ashford Town | Greg Neall | 539 | Spelthorne LD | Jun 2025 |
| Halliford Sunbury West(3 seats) | Turner · Nichols · Dunn | 2,768 | Spelthorne LD | May 2023 |
| Laleham Shepperton Green(3 seats) | Mathur · Clarke · Howkins | 2,533 | Spelthorne LD | May 2023 |
| Riverside Laleham(3 seats) | Geraci · Saliagopoulos · Gibson | 3,259 | Spelthorne LD | May 2023 |
| Shepperton Town(3 seats) | Boughtflower · Brennan · Attewell | 3,069 | Spelthorne LD | May 2023 |
| Staines | Laura Barker | 804 | Spelthorne LD | Oct 2025 |
| Staines South(3 seats) | Bateson · Caplin · Burrell | 3,004 | Spelthorne LD | May 2023 |
| Stanwell North(3 seats) | Doran · Button · Doran | 2,375 | Spelthorne LD | May 2023 |
| Sunbury Common(3 seats) | Boparai · Dong · Gyawali | 2,216 | Spelthorne LD | May 2023 |
| Sunbury East(3 seats) | Weerasinghe · Grant · Lee | 2,995 | Spelthorne LD | May 2023 |
Source · Democracy Club · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (CC BY-SA 4.0)
The seat’s population is concentrated in Ashford (Spelthorne) (24,311), with Sunbury-on-Thames (21,115) as the second pole. Total population across named built-up areas: 102,960.
Source · ONS Built-Up Areas · Census 2021
| Settlement | Pop. | Class |
|---|---|---|
| Ashford (Spelthorne) | 24,311 | town |
| Sunbury-on-Thames | 21,115 | town |
| Staines-upon-Thames | 17,798 | town |
| Stanwell | 11,252 | town |
| Ashford Common | 8,776 | town |
| Rural & dispersed | 6,665 | town |
Headline indicators.
| Indicator | Local | National | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Employment rate | 61.8% | 57.1% | +8% |
| Owner-occupied | 69.4% | 63.1% | +10% |
| Private rented | 17.9% | 20.0% | -10% |
| Social rented | 12.7% | 16.8% | -25% |
Ethnicity.
Source · Census 2021
Population by age & sexCensus 2021 · 18 bands · click to expand
Source · Census 2021 (ONS) · % of usual residents; tick marks the median seat per band
Income tax contribution.
| Total income tax | £441m |
| Taxpayers | 60,000 |
| Median per taxpayer | £3,210 |
| Mean per taxpayer | £7,380 |
Source · HMRC SPI · ±8% confidence
Where the money flows back in.
This constituency is served by Spelthorne. Each council’s service spend, peer rank and supplier list lives on its own page — open from the meta block above or the compass strip below.
Move the income slider on My place to see income tax, NI, VAT and council tax against your earnings — the household lens.
Headline rate.
By category.
Source · data.police.uk · 3-month rate per 1,000 pop
2024 — full result.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lincoln JoppWON | Con | 14,038 | 30.4 |
| Claire Tighe | Lab | 12,448 | 27.0 |
| Harry Boparai | LD | 8,710 | 18.9 |
| Rory O'Brien | Ref | 8,284 | 17.9 |
| Manu Singh | Grn | 2,413 | 5.2 |
| Alistair Miller | Ind | 273 | 0.6 |
Turnout 46,166
Prior contests.
| Year | Winner | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | Kwasi Kwarteng | Con | 58.9 |
| 2017 | Kwasi Kwarteng | Con | 57.3 |
| 2015 | Kwasi Kwarteng | Con | 49.7 |
| 2010 | Kwarteng, Kwasi | Con | 47.1 |
Sources, methods & last update
2023 boundary review
DCLEAPIL v1.0 (CC BY-SA 4.0)
Census 2021
National avg over 575 seats
±8% confidence
LSOA-aggregated · rolling 12mo