South Holland and The Deepings.
Conservative and Unionist Party MP John Hayes holds the seat on 38.0% of the vote — a split-council geography across 2 councils.
1 Jun 2026
A 100% party-line voter who has never rebelled, Hayes has nonetheless been conspicuous in recent months pushing to hold the government to account. In April 2026 he backed a motion to refer Prime Minister Starmer to the Privileges Committee over the Mandelson appointment, and voted consistently against government positions during ping-pong on the Crime and Policing Bill, the Children's Wellbeing and Schools Bill, and the Pension Schemes Bill -- on each occasion siding with the Lords over the Commons government majority. None of these votes broke with Conservative whipping, but they reflect deliberate positioning rather than passive voting.
His voting record is firmly right-of-centre: 91% pro-business, 88% tough-on-crime, 88% anti-tax-increases, and 8% aligned with workers'-rights measures. His participation rate of 74% sits below the Commons average. He speaks frequently -- 637 contributions across 184 debates -- with economy, health, local government, and social care dominating his speech record. He scores 100% on pro-lords-scrutiny votes, fitting his recent pattern of backing the upper chamber's positions. One notable deviation: at 0% pro-pension-protection against a party average of 39%, he has been consistently more sceptical than most Conservative colleagues on pension safeguards.
Locally, Hayes has been active on constituency campaigns. He secured a meeting between a domestic abuse campaigner and a cabinet minister, raised a murdered woman's case in Parliament, and lobbied Arts Council England for grant funding to support a local parade. Crime and culture-community issues dominate his local coverage, with broadly positive sentiment. He sits on the Panel of Chairs. Data on internal party influence is limited.
Ward-level direction-of-travel: who controls what, who flipped recently, who holds the line. Each ward links to the council that runs it.
| Ward | Latest winner | Votes | Council | Last cycle |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crowland Deeping St Nicholas(3 seats) | Harrison · Alcock · Astill | 2,104 | South Holland Con | May 2023 |
| Deeping St James(3 seats) | Ley · Denniston · Dilks | 3,667 | South Kesteven Con | May 2023 |
| Donington Quadring Gosberton(3 seats) | Bingham · King · Geaney | 2,224 | South Holland Con | May 2023 |
| Fleet | Paul Stephen Barnes | 373 | South Holland Con | May 2023 |
| Gedney | Jo Reynolds | 289 | South Holland Con | May 2023 |
| Holbeach Hurn | Nick Worth | 331 | South Holland Con | May 2023 |
| Holbeach Town(3 seats) | Chapman · Hutchinson · Carter | 2,250 | South Holland Con | May 2023 |
| Long Sutton(3 seats) | Tennant · Wilkinson · Tyrrell | 2,731 | South Holland Con | May 2023 |
| Market West Deeping(3 seats) | Baxter · Byrd · Moran | 2,992 | South Kesteven Con | May 2023 |
| Moulton Weston Cowbit(3 seats) | Woolf · Casson · Sneath | 2,940 | South Holland Con | May 2023 |
| Pinchbeck Surfleet(3 seats) | Sneath · Avery · Slade | 2,570 | South Holland Con | May 2023 |
| Spalding Castle | Gary John Taylor | 335 | South Holland Con | May 2023 |
| Spalding Monks House(2 seats) | Sheard · Chauhan | 1,128 | South Holland Con | May 2023 |
| Spalding St Johns(2 seats) | Sage · Hasan | 1,343 | South Holland Con | May 2023 |
| Spalding St Marys(2 seats) | Ashby · Sage | 1,031 | South Holland Con | May 2023 |
| Spalding St Pauls | Glynis Pearl Scalese | 155 | South Holland Con | Nov 2023 |
| Spalding Wygate(2 seats) | Spencer · Whitbourn | 896 | South Holland Con | May 2023 |
| Sutton Bridge(2 seats) | Brewis · Booth | 1,033 | South Holland Con | May 2023 |
| The Saints | Laura Jean Eldridge | 524 | South Holland Con | May 2023 |
| Whaplode Holbeach St Johns(2 seats) | Beal · Redgate | 1,170 | South Holland Con | May 2023 |
Source · Democracy Club · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (CC BY-SA 4.0)
The seat’s population is concentrated in Spalding (31,856), with Rural & dispersed (23,521) as the second pole. Total population across named built-up areas: 109,483.
Source · ONS Built-Up Areas · Census 2021
| Settlement | Pop. | Class |
|---|---|---|
| Spalding | 31,856 | large town |
| Rural & dispersed | 23,521 | town |
| Holbeach | 7,742 | town |
| Market Deeping | 7,104 | town |
| Long Sutton (South Holland) | 5,806 | town |
| Deeping St James | 5,770 | town |
Headline indicators.
| Indicator | Local | National | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Employment rate | 57.3% | 57.1% | 0% |
| Owner-occupied | 71.3% | 63.1% | +13% |
| Private rented | 16.6% | 20.0% | -17% |
| Social rented | 11.9% | 16.8% | -29% |
Ethnicity.
Source · Census 2021
Population by age & sexCensus 2021 · 18 bands · click to expand
Source · Census 2021 (ONS) · % of usual residents; tick marks the median seat per band
Income tax contribution.
| Total income tax | £243m |
| Taxpayers | 58,000 |
| Median per taxpayer | £2,430 |
| Mean per taxpayer | £4,190 |
Source · HMRC SPI · ±8% confidence
Where the money flows back in.
This constituency is served by South Holland and South Kesteven. Each council’s service spend, peer rank and supplier list lives on its own page — open from the meta block above or the compass strip below.
Move the income slider on My place to see income tax, NI, VAT and council tax against your earnings — the household lens.
Headline rate.
By category.
Source · data.police.uk · 3-month rate per 1,000 pop
2024 — full result.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| John HayesWON | Con | 17,462 | 38.0 |
| Matt Swainson | Ref | 10,606 | 23.1 |
| Paul Hilliar | Lab | 9,086 | 19.8 |
| Mark Le Sage | Ind | 5,031 | 10.9 |
| Jack Braginton | LD | 1,945 | 4.2 |
| Rhys Baker | Grn | 1,800 | 3.9 |
Turnout 45,930
Prior contests.
| Year | Winner | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | John Hayes | Con | 75.9 |
| 2017 | John Hayes | Con | 69.9 |
| 2015 | John Hayes | Con | 59.5 |
| 2010 | Hayes, John | Con | 59.1 |
Sources, methods & last update
2023 boundary review
DCLEAPIL v1.0 (CC BY-SA 4.0)
Census 2021
National avg over 575 seats
±8% confidence
LSOA-aggregated · rolling 12mo