The placeConstituency · East Midlands · Electorate 78,473 · 2023 boundaries

South Holland and The Deepings.

Conservative and Unionist Party MP John Hayes holds the seat on 38.0% of the vote — a split-council geography across 2 councils.

Member of ParliamentJohn Hayes · Conservative and Unionist Party
CouncilsSouth Holland · South Kesteven
Boundary set2023
ONS codeE14001487
Electorate · 2024
78.5k
Registered to vote
2024 GE — winner
38.0%
Conservative and Unionist Party · +14.9pp over Ref
Settlements
16
Largest: Spalding
Crime · per 1k pop · 3mo
18.0
data.police.uk · 12mo rolling
Dispatch
1 Jun 2026

A 100% party-line voter who has never rebelled, Hayes has nonetheless been conspicuous in recent months pushing to hold the government to account. In April 2026 he backed a motion to refer Prime Minister Starmer to the Privileges Committee over the Mandelson appointment, and voted consistently against government positions during ping-pong on the Crime and Policing Bill, the Children's Wellbeing and Schools Bill, and the Pension Schemes Bill -- on each occasion siding with the Lords over the Commons government majority. None of these votes broke with Conservative whipping, but they reflect deliberate positioning rather than passive voting.

His voting record is firmly right-of-centre: 91% pro-business, 88% tough-on-crime, 88% anti-tax-increases, and 8% aligned with workers'-rights measures. His participation rate of 74% sits below the Commons average. He speaks frequently -- 637 contributions across 184 debates -- with economy, health, local government, and social care dominating his speech record. He scores 100% on pro-lords-scrutiny votes, fitting his recent pattern of backing the upper chamber's positions. One notable deviation: at 0% pro-pension-protection against a party average of 39%, he has been consistently more sceptical than most Conservative colleagues on pension safeguards.

Locally, Hayes has been active on constituency campaigns. He secured a meeting between a domestic abuse campaigner and a cabinet minister, raised a murdered woman's case in Parliament, and lobbied Arts Council England for grant funding to support a local parade. Crime and culture-community issues dominate his local coverage, with broadly positive sentiment. He sits on the Panel of Chairs. Data on internal party influence is limited.

38.0%
Con vote · 2024 GE
2
Councils overlapping the seat
20
Wards · 42 councillors
§ 01The local picture — wards.20 wards · 42 councillors · 2 councils

Ward-level direction-of-travel: who controls what, who flipped recently, who holds the line. Each ward links to the council that runs it.

WardLatest winnerVotesCouncilLast cycle
Crowland Deeping St Nicholas(3 seats)Harrison · Alcock · Astill2,104South Holland ConMay 2023
Deeping St James(3 seats)Ley · Denniston · Dilks3,667South Kesteven ConMay 2023
Donington Quadring Gosberton(3 seats)Bingham · King · Geaney2,224South Holland ConMay 2023
Fleet Paul Stephen Barnes373South Holland ConMay 2023
Gedney Jo Reynolds289South Holland ConMay 2023
Holbeach Hurn Nick Worth331South Holland ConMay 2023
Holbeach Town(3 seats)Chapman · Hutchinson · Carter2,250South Holland ConMay 2023
Long Sutton(3 seats)Tennant · Wilkinson · Tyrrell2,731South Holland ConMay 2023
Market West Deeping(3 seats)Baxter · Byrd · Moran2,992South Kesteven ConMay 2023
Moulton Weston Cowbit(3 seats)Woolf · Casson · Sneath2,940South Holland ConMay 2023
Pinchbeck Surfleet(3 seats)Sneath · Avery · Slade2,570South Holland ConMay 2023
Spalding Castle Gary John Taylor335South Holland ConMay 2023
Spalding Monks House(2 seats)Sheard · Chauhan1,128South Holland ConMay 2023
Spalding St Johns(2 seats)Sage · Hasan1,343South Holland ConMay 2023
Spalding St Marys(2 seats)Ashby · Sage1,031South Holland ConMay 2023
Spalding St Pauls Glynis Pearl Scalese155South Holland ConNov 2023
Spalding Wygate(2 seats)Spencer · Whitbourn896South Holland ConMay 2023
Sutton Bridge(2 seats)Brewis · Booth1,033South Holland ConMay 2023
The Saints Laura Jean Eldridge524South Holland ConMay 2023
Whaplode Holbeach St Johns(2 seats)Beal · Redgate1,170South Holland ConMay 2023

Source · Democracy Club · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (CC BY-SA 4.0)

§ 02Settlements.16 named places

The seat’s population is concentrated in Spalding (31,856), with Rural & dispersed (23,521) as the second pole. Total population across named built-up areas: 109,483.

large-town 31,856town 49,943village 27,684

Source · ONS Built-Up Areas · Census 2021

SettlementPop.Class
Spalding31,856large town
Rural & dispersed23,521town
Holbeach7,742town
Market Deeping7,104town
Long Sutton (South Holland)5,806town
Deeping St James5,770town
Showing 6 of 16·All 16 settlements
§ 03Demographics.Census 2021 · vs national avg

Headline indicators.

IndicatorLocalNationalΔ
Employment rate57.3%57.1%0%
Owner-occupied71.3%63.1%+13%
Private rented16.6%20.0%-17%
Social rented11.9%16.8%-29%

Ethnicity.

White96.3%
Asian1.3%
Black0.5%
Mixed1.3%
Other0.6%

Source · Census 2021

Population by age & sexCensus 2021 · 18 bands · click to expand
Male 48.9% Female 51.0% Median seat
MaleAgeFemale
85+
80-84
75-79
70-74
65-69
60-64
55-59
50-54
45-49
40-44
35-39
30-34
25-29
20-24
16-19
10-15
5-9
0-4

Source · Census 2021 (ONS) · % of usual residents; tick marks the median seat per band

§ 04Local economy.Income · tax · businesses · schools
Median income
£26,100
HMRC SPI · 2024
Mean income
£31,900
HMRC SPI · 2024
Businesses
4,500
VAT/PAYE-registered
Schools
53
40 primary · 7 secondary
GCSE pass
62.8%
Attainment 8: 44.3

Income tax contribution.

Total income tax£243m
Taxpayers58,000
Median per taxpayer£2,430
Mean per taxpayer£4,190

Source · HMRC SPI · ±8% confidence

Where the money flows back in.

For council finance & suppliers

This constituency is served by South Holland and South Kesteven. Each council’s service spend, peer rank and supplier list lives on its own page — open from the meta block above or the compass strip below.

For household tax breakdown

Move the income slider on My place to see income tax, NI, VAT and council tax against your earnings — the household lens.

§ 05Recorded crime.data.police.uk · 12-month rolling

Headline rate.

Per 1k pop · 3mo
18.0
-13% vs national
Monthly avg / 1k
6.0
12-month rolling
Top category
Violence & sexual offences
39% of recorded crime

By category.

Violence & sexual offences7.1
Anti-social behaviour4.2
Criminal damage & arson1.3
Other theft1.1
Public order1.0
Shoplifting0.9
Burglary0.8

Source · data.police.uk · 3-month rate per 1,000 pop

Showing 7 of 15·All 15 categories — full monthly trend & settlement breakdown
§ 06Election history.5 contests · created on 2023 boundaries

2024 — full result.

CandidateVotes%
John HayesWONCon17,46238.0
Matt SwainsonRef10,60623.1
Paul HilliarLab9,08619.8
Mark Le SageInd5,03110.9
Jack BragintonLD1,9454.2
Rhys BakerGrn1,8003.9

Turnout 45,930

Prior contests.

YearWinner%
2019John HayesCon75.9
2017John HayesCon69.9
2015John HayesCon59.5
2010Hayes, JohnCon59.1
Sources, methods & last update
Method The dispatch paragraphs are AI-generated from the public sources listed below. Every figure links to its source. If we’re wrong, please tell us — corrections within 48 hours.
BoundariesONS Open Geography Portal
2023 boundary review
Wards & councilsLGBCE · Democracy Club
DCLEAPIL v1.0 (CC BY-SA 4.0)
SettlementsONS Built-Up Areas
Census 2021
DemographicsONS · Nomis · Census 2021
National avg over 575 seats
Income & taxHMRC SPI
±8% confidence
SchoolsDfE · attainment data
Crimedata.police.uk
LSOA-aggregated · rolling 12mo
ElectionsElectoral Commission