The placeConstituency · South East · Electorate 70,618 · 2023 boundaries

New Forest East.

Conservative and Unionist Party MP Julian Lewis holds the seat on 38.5% of the vote.

Member of ParliamentJulian Lewis · Conservative and Unionist Party
CouncilNew Forest
Boundary set2023
ONS codeE14001373
Electorate · 2024
70.6k
Registered to vote
2024 GE — winner
38.5%
Conservative and Unionist Party · +18.8pp over Lab
Settlements
11
Largest: Totton
Crime · per 1k pop · 3mo
14.3
data.police.uk · 12mo rolling
Dispatch
1 Jun 2026

A near-total Conservative loyalist with one notable exception, Julian Lewis voted in favour of the Tobacco and Vapes Bill at Second Reading in November 2024 -- breaking with his party to back legislation creating a generational smoking ban. Beyond that single rebellion, he has voted consistently with the Conservative whip, including supporting a Privileges Committee referral for Keir Starmer over the Mandelson appointment and opposing government powers to direct pension fund investments. His most distinctive recent stance is an emphatic commitment to Lords scrutiny: he scores 100% on pro-lords-scrutiny votes and has repeatedly backed the upper chamber's amendments to the English Devolution and Community Empowerment Bill against government attempts to overturn them.

At 77% voting participation -- slightly below the Commons average -- Lewis is an active parliamentary debater rather than a pure division-lobby presence. His 613 contributions across 466 debates are dominated by defence (223 contributions), reflecting long-standing specialist interest in intelligence and security matters built up over nearly three decades in Parliament. He deviates from his party most notably on assisted dying, where he leans more against than the Conservative average, and on transport issues. His stance profile shows strong alignment with parliamentary scrutiny (95%) and business-friendly positions (91%), but very low alignment with workers' rights (6%) and progressive taxation (3%).

Locally, Lewis has been prominently active in opposing proposed boundary changes that would split the Waterside area from the New Forest -- writing to ministers, coordinating cross-party council opposition, and securing ongoing press coverage across the past year. He also led a Westminster Hall debate on stab-proof vests for prison officers in March 2026. No committee roles are currently recorded for him.

38.5%
Con vote · 2024 GE
1
Council overlapping the seat
14
Wards · 25 councillors
§ 01The local picture — wards.14 wards · 25 councillors

Ward-level direction-of-travel: who controls what, who flipped recently, who holds the line.

WardLatest winnerVotesCouncilLast cycle
Ashurst Bramshaw Copythorne Netley Marsh(2 seats)Tipp · Reilly1,993New Forest ConMay 2023
Brockenhurst Denny Lodge Adam William Parker671New Forest ConMay 2023
Dibden Dibden Purlieu(2 seats)Wade · Osborne1,899New Forest ConMay 2023
Fawley Blackfield Calshot Langley(2 seats)Alvey · Hartmann1,440New Forest ConMay 2023
Forest Solent Dan Poole554New Forest ConMay 2023
Hardley Holbury North Blackfield(2 seats)Glass · Armstrong856New Forest ConMay 2023
Hythe Central(2 seats)Wade · Dowd2,082New Forest ConMay 2023
Hythe South(2 seats)Clark · Cullen1,440New Forest ConMay 2023
Lyndhurst Minstead Hilary Brand577New Forest ConMay 2023
Marchwood Eling(2 seats)Mballa · Young1,714New Forest ConMay 2023
Sway Barry Rickman737New Forest ConMay 2023
Totton Central(2 seats)Murray · Sleep1,243New Forest ConMay 2023
Totton North(3 seats)Penny · Crisell · Penman2,642New Forest ConMay 2023
Totton South(2 seats)Rackham · Harrison1,599New Forest ConMay 2023

Source · Democracy Club · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (CC BY-SA 4.0)

§ 02Settlements.11 named places

The seat’s population is concentrated in Totton (25,709), with Hythe and Dibden Purlieu (20,179) as the second pole. Total population across named built-up areas: 90,775.

large-town 25,709town 54,181village 10,885

Source · ONS Built-Up Areas · Census 2021

SettlementPop.Class
Totton25,709large town
Hythe and Dibden Purlieu20,179town
Rural & dispersed14,217town
Holbury7,909town
Blackfield and Langley6,100town
Marchwood5,776town
Showing 6 of 11·All 11 settlements
§ 03Demographics.Census 2021 · vs national avg

Headline indicators.

IndicatorLocalNationalΔ
Employment rate56.1%57.1%-2%
Owner-occupied75.0%63.1%+19%
Private rented13.2%20.0%-34%
Social rented11.8%16.8%-30%

Ethnicity.

White96.6%
Asian1.1%
Black0.6%
Mixed1.3%
Other0.4%

Source · Census 2021

Population by age & sexCensus 2021 · 18 bands · click to expand
Male 48.6% Female 51.4% Median seat
MaleAgeFemale
85+
80-84
75-79
70-74
65-69
60-64
55-59
50-54
45-49
40-44
35-39
30-34
25-29
20-24
16-19
10-15
5-9
0-4

Source · Census 2021 (ONS) · % of usual residents; tick marks the median seat per band

§ 04Local economy.Income · tax · businesses · schools
Median income
£28,500
HMRC SPI · 2024
Mean income
£39,200
HMRC SPI · 2024
Businesses
3,525
VAT/PAYE-registered
Schools
51
30 primary · 5 secondary
GCSE pass
56.0%
Attainment 8: 39.5

Income tax contribution.

Total income tax£335m
Taxpayers51,000
Median per taxpayer£2,880
Mean per taxpayer£6,520

Source · HMRC SPI · ±8% confidence

Where the money flows back in.

For council finance & suppliers

This constituency is served by New Forest. Each council’s service spend, peer rank and supplier list lives on its own page — open from the meta block above or the compass strip below.

For household tax breakdown

Move the income slider on My place to see income tax, NI, VAT and council tax against your earnings — the household lens.

§ 05Recorded crime.data.police.uk · 12-month rolling

Headline rate.

Per 1k pop · 3mo
14.3
-31% vs national
Monthly avg / 1k
4.8
12-month rolling
Top category
Violence & sexual offences
43% of recorded crime

By category.

Violence & sexual offences6.2
Anti-social behaviour1.5
Criminal damage & arson1.2
Shoplifting1.2
Other theft1.0
Public order0.9
Burglary0.8

Source · data.police.uk · 3-month rate per 1,000 pop

Showing 7 of 15·All 15 categories — full monthly trend & settlement breakdown
§ 06Election history.5 contests · created on 2023 boundaries

2024 — full result.

CandidateVotes%
Julian LewisWONCon17,41238.5
Sasjkia OttoLab8,91719.7
Roy SwalesRef7,64616.9
Caroline RackhamLD7,19815.9
Simon KingGrn3,1186.9
Mad HatterInd5291.2
Andrew KnightInd4100.9

Turnout 45,230

Prior contests.

YearWinner%
2019Julian LewisCon64.5
2017Julian LewisCon62.6
2015Julian LewisCon56.3
2010Lewis, JulianCon52.9
Sources, methods & last update
Method The dispatch paragraphs are AI-generated from the public sources listed below. Every figure links to its source. If we’re wrong, please tell us — corrections within 48 hours.
BoundariesONS Open Geography Portal
2023 boundary review
Wards & councilsLGBCE · Democracy Club
DCLEAPIL v1.0 (CC BY-SA 4.0)
SettlementsONS Built-Up Areas
Census 2021
DemographicsONS · Nomis · Census 2021
National avg over 575 seats
Income & taxHMRC SPI
±8% confidence
SchoolsDfE · attainment data
Crimedata.police.uk
LSOA-aggregated · rolling 12mo
ElectionsElectoral Commission