Louth and Horncastle.
Conservative and Unionist Party MP Victoria Atkins holds the seat on 37.5% of the vote.
2 Jun 2026
Atkins is most visibly active right now as Shadow Secretary of State for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs -- a role that shapes almost everything she does in Parliament. She broke from the Conservative majority four times on two major free votes, backing the assisted dying bill at both its Second and Third Readings and supporting the Tobacco and Vapes Bill through both its Commons stages. The tobacco votes are the sharpest deviation: most Conservative MPs opposed the bill, but Atkins, a former Health Secretary, backed the smokefree generation policy she had championed in government. Outside free votes, she has been vocal on farmers' inheritance tax, challenging the government in Parliament and appearing on agricultural media platforms to oppose the policy.
Her parliamentary participation sits at 60% -- below the Commons average -- though her 148 speech contributions across 39 debates suggest she is selective rather than disengaged. Environment, agriculture, and the economy dominate her speaking record, consistent with her frontbench brief. She votes with the Conservative party line 98.7% of the time on whipped votes, and her stance profile reflects orthodox Conservative economics: consistently opposing employer National Insurance rises, workers' rights legislation, and progressive taxation. She scores 100% on pro-Lords-scrutiny votes, backing the upper chamber's amendments to the English Devolution and Pension Schemes Bills against the government.
Her strongest policy deviation from her own party is on public health, where she sits 31 percentage points above the Conservative average -- a direct legacy of her time as Health Secretary. Local news coverage over the past 90 days is high in volume but largely incidental to her work; the most substantive stories tie to rural cost-of-living and farming policy. No committee memberships are recorded for the current period.
Ward-level direction-of-travel: who controls what, who flipped recently, who holds the line.
| Ward | Latest winner | Votes | Council | Last cycle |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alford(2 seats) | Marsh · Devereux | 875 | East Lindsey Con | May 2023 |
| Binbrook | Richard Geoffrey Fry | 415 | East Lindsey Con | May 2023 |
| Coningsby Mareham(3 seats) | Hall · Foster · Avison | 0 | East Lindsey Con | May 2019 |
| Fulstow | Edward Peel Mossop | 496 | East Lindsey Con | May 2019 |
| Grimoldby | Terry Knowles | 346 | East Lindsey Con | May 2023 |
| Hagworthingham | Will Grover | 317 | East Lindsey Con | May 2023 |
| Halton Holegate | Terry Taylor | 306 | East Lindsey Con | Mar 2022 |
| Holton Le Clay North Thoresby(2 seats) | Lyons · Aldridge | 1,212 | East Lindsey Con | May 2023 |
| Horncastle(3 seats) | Martin · Avison · Campbell-Wardman | 2,366 | East Lindsey Con | May 2019 |
| Legbourne | Adam Grist | 415 | East Lindsey Con | May 2023 |
| Mablethorpe(3 seats) | Arnold · Cullen · Marnoch | 2,925 | East Lindsey Con | May 2023 |
| Marshchapel Somercotes(2 seats) | McNally · Rickett | 1,275 | East Lindsey Con | May 2023 |
| North Holme | David Hall | 239 | East Lindsey Con | May 2023 |
| Priory St James(2 seats) | Leonard · Hobson | 975 | East Lindsey Con | May 2023 |
| Roughton | William Gray | 462 | East Lindsey Con | May 2019 |
| Spilsby | Ellie Marsh | 250 | East Lindsey Con | May 2023 |
| St Margarets | Sam Kemp | 227 | East Lindsey Con | May 2023 |
| St Marys | Jill Makinson-Sanders | 581 | East Lindsey Con | May 2023 |
| St Michaels | George Horton | 379 | East Lindsey Con | May 2023 |
| Sutton On Sea(2 seats) | Watson · Bristow | 1,702 | East Lindsey Con | May 2023 |
| Tetford Donington | Daniel Anthony Simpson | 395 | East Lindsey Con | May 2023 |
| Tetney | Steve McMillian | 395 | East Lindsey Con | May 2023 |
| Trinity | Ros Jackson | 249 | East Lindsey Con | May 2023 |
| Withern Theddlethorpe | Travis Hesketh | 461 | East Lindsey Con | May 2023 |
| Woodhall Spa(2 seats) | Leyland · Kemp | 1,461 | East Lindsey Con | May 2023 |
| Wragby | Ru Yarsley | 297 | East Lindsey Con | May 2023 |
Source · Democracy Club · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (CC BY-SA 4.0)
The seat’s population is concentrated in Rural & dispersed (28,221), with Louth (17,379) as the second pole. Total population across named built-up areas: 96,597.
Source · ONS Built-Up Areas · Census 2021
| Settlement | Pop. | Class |
|---|---|---|
| Rural & dispersed | 28,221 | large town |
| Louth | 17,379 | town |
| Coningsby and Tattershall | 7,505 | town |
| Mablethorpe | 6,425 | town |
| Horncastle | 5,631 | town |
| Woodhall Spa | 4,442 | village |
Headline indicators.
| Indicator | Local | National | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Employment rate | 46.9% | 57.1% | -18% |
| Owner-occupied | 71.4% | 63.1% | +13% |
| Private rented | 18.2% | 20.0% | -9% |
| Social rented | 10.4% | 16.8% | -38% |
Ethnicity.
Source · Census 2021
Population by age & sexCensus 2021 · 18 bands · click to expand
Source · Census 2021 (ONS) · % of usual residents; tick marks the median seat per band
Income tax contribution.
| Total income tax | £191m |
| Taxpayers | 47,000 |
| Median per taxpayer | £2,210 |
| Mean per taxpayer | £4,050 |
Source · HMRC SPI · ±8% confidence
Where the money flows back in.
This constituency is served by East Lindsey. Each council’s service spend, peer rank and supplier list lives on its own page — open from the meta block above or the compass strip below.
Move the income slider on My place to see income tax, NI, VAT and council tax against your earnings — the household lens.
Headline rate.
By category.
Source · data.police.uk · 3-month rate per 1,000 pop
2024 — full result.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoria AtkinsWON | Con | 17,441 | 37.5 |
| Sean Matthews | Ref | 11,935 | 25.7 |
| Jonathan Slater | Lab | 10,475 | 22.5 |
| Robert Watson | Grn | 2,504 | 5.4 |
| Ross Pepper | LD | 2,364 | 5.1 |
| Paul Hugill | Ind | 1,359 | 2.9 |
| Iconic Arty-Pole | Ind | 309 | 0.7 |
| Marcus Moorehouse | Ind | 92 | 0.2 |
Turnout 46,479
Prior contests.
| Year | Winner | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | Victoria Atkins | Con | 72.7 |
| 2017 | Victoria Atkins | Con | 63.9 |
| 2015 | Victoria Atkins | Con | 51.2 |
| 2010 | Tapsell, Peter | Con | 49.6 |
Sources, methods & last update
2023 boundary review
DCLEAPIL v1.0 (CC BY-SA 4.0)
Census 2021
National avg over 575 seats
±8% confidence
LSOA-aggregated · rolling 12mo