Leyton and Wanstead.
Labour Party MP Calvin Bailey holds the seat on 47.5% of the vote — a split-council geography across 2 councils.
3 Jun 2026
A steady Labour loyalist who nonetheless drew attention in March by publicly challenging Nigel Farage over a Reform UK mayoral candidate -- Calvin Bailey wrote to Farage in December after the candidate compared a Jewish group to "Islamists on horseback," then called out Reform's slow response when the story broke nationally. His recent votes follow the government line without deviation: he backed tightening asylum support rules in late April, allowing ministers to suspend accommodation and financial assistance for asylum seekers found working illegally, and voted against referring Keir Starmer to the Privileges Committee over the Mandelson appointment row.
Bailey's participation rate -- 67% of Commons votes -- sits below the average for MPs. He votes with Labour 100% of the time, making him one of the party's more reliable backbenchers. His stance scores show a strong lean toward workers' rights (91% aligned) and progressive taxation (95%), with notably low scores on parliamentary scrutiny and pro-business measures (both 13%). He deviates from his Labour colleagues most sharply on pension protection, voting in that direction far more consistently than the party average. Defence dominates his speech record, with 80 contributions on the topic, reflecting his seat on the Defence Committee.
That committee role is the clearest lens for reading his activity: much of his parliamentary energy goes into defence scrutiny rather than the chamber floor. Local coverage is muted -- recent articles span education, environment and transport with near-neutral sentiment. The high-impact news stories attached to his constituency profile largely concern his predecessor Harry Cohen's expenses scandals from 2008--2010, which are historical background rather than any reflection on Bailey himself, elected only in July 2024.
Ward-level direction-of-travel: who controls what, who flipped recently, who holds the line. Each ward links to the council that runs it.
| Ward | Latest winner | Votes | Council | Last cycle |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cann Hall(3 seats) | Rayner · Green · Littlejohn | 5,487 | Waltham Forest Lab | May 2022 |
| Cathall(2 seats) | O'Dea · Asghar | 2,257 | Waltham Forest Lab | May 2022 |
| Forest(3 seats) | Berberi · Berberi · Malik | 5,988 | Waltham Forest Lab | May 2022 |
| Grove Green(3 seats) | Mbachu · Limbajee · Rasool | 4,618 | Waltham Forest Lab | May 2022 |
| Leytonstone(3 seats) | Loakes · Gray · Pye | 5,545 | Waltham Forest Lab | May 2022 |
| South Woodford(3 seats) | Brewer · Hehir · Hussain | 5,267 | Redbridge Lab | May 2022 |
| Wanstead Park(2 seats) | Alaba · Bain | 3,004 | Redbridge Lab | May 2022 |
| Wanstead Village(3 seats) | Morgan-Thomas · Blackman · Donovan | 5,588 | Redbridge Lab | May 2022 |
Source · Democracy Club · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (CC BY-SA 4.0)
The seat’s population is concentrated in Waltham Forest (83,582), with Redbridge (31,448) as the second pole. Total population across named built-up areas: 115,030.
Source · ONS Built-Up Areas · Census 2021
| Settlement | Pop. | Class |
|---|---|---|
| Waltham Forest | 83,582 | city |
| Redbridge | 31,448 | city |
Headline indicators.
| Indicator | Local | National | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Employment rate | 63.9% | 57.1% | +12% |
| Owner-occupied | 49.4% | 63.1% | -22% |
| Private rented | 31.7% | 20.0% | +59% |
| Social rented | 18.8% | 16.8% | +12% |
Ethnicity.
Source · Census 2021
Population by age & sexCensus 2021 · 18 bands · click to expand
Source · Census 2021 (ONS) · % of usual residents; tick marks the median seat per band
Income tax contribution.
| Total income tax | £593m |
| Taxpayers | 63,000 |
| Median per taxpayer | £3,670 |
| Mean per taxpayer | £9,480 |
Source · HMRC SPI · ±8% confidence
Where the money flows back in.
This constituency is served by Waltham Forest and Redbridge. Each council’s service spend, peer rank and supplier list lives on its own page — open from the meta block above or the compass strip below.
Move the income slider on My place to see income tax, NI, VAT and council tax against your earnings — the household lens.
Headline rate.
By category.
Source · data.police.uk · 3-month rate per 1,000 pop
2024 — full result.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin BaileyWON | Lab | 20,755 | 47.5 |
| Charlotte Lafferty | Grn | 6,791 | 15.5 |
| Gloria Croxall | Con | 4,846 | 11.1 |
| Shanell Johnson | Ind | 4,173 | 9.5 |
| Tara Copeland | LD | 2,815 | 6.4 |
| David Sandground | Ref | 2,475 | 5.7 |
| Mahtab Aziz | Ind | 1,633 | 3.7 |
| Simon Bezer | Ind | 244 | 0.6 |
Turnout 43,732
Prior contests.
| Year | Winner | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | John Cryer | Lab | 64.7 |
| 2017 | John Cryer | Lab | 69.8 |
| 2015 | John Cryer | Lab | 58.6 |
| 2010 | Cryer, John | Lab | 43.6 |
Sources, methods & last update
2023 boundary review
DCLEAPIL v1.0 (CC BY-SA 4.0)
Census 2021
National avg over 575 seats
±8% confidence
LSOA-aggregated · rolling 12mo