The placeConstituency · London · Electorate 71,491 · 2023 boundaries

Leyton and Wanstead.

Labour Party MP Calvin Bailey holds the seat on 47.5% of the vote — a split-council geography across 2 councils.

Member of ParliamentCalvin Bailey · Labour Party
CouncilsWaltham Forest · Redbridge
Boundary set2023
ONS codeE14001334
Electorate · 2024
71.5k
Registered to vote
2024 GE — winner
47.5%
Labour Party · +31.9pp over Grn
Settlements
2
Largest: Waltham Forest
Crime · per 1k pop · 3mo
26.4
data.police.uk · 12mo rolling
Dispatch
3 Jun 2026

A steady Labour loyalist who nonetheless drew attention in March by publicly challenging Nigel Farage over a Reform UK mayoral candidate -- Calvin Bailey wrote to Farage in December after the candidate compared a Jewish group to "Islamists on horseback," then called out Reform's slow response when the story broke nationally. His recent votes follow the government line without deviation: he backed tightening asylum support rules in late April, allowing ministers to suspend accommodation and financial assistance for asylum seekers found working illegally, and voted against referring Keir Starmer to the Privileges Committee over the Mandelson appointment row.

Bailey's participation rate -- 67% of Commons votes -- sits below the average for MPs. He votes with Labour 100% of the time, making him one of the party's more reliable backbenchers. His stance scores show a strong lean toward workers' rights (91% aligned) and progressive taxation (95%), with notably low scores on parliamentary scrutiny and pro-business measures (both 13%). He deviates from his Labour colleagues most sharply on pension protection, voting in that direction far more consistently than the party average. Defence dominates his speech record, with 80 contributions on the topic, reflecting his seat on the Defence Committee.

That committee role is the clearest lens for reading his activity: much of his parliamentary energy goes into defence scrutiny rather than the chamber floor. Local coverage is muted -- recent articles span education, environment and transport with near-neutral sentiment. The high-impact news stories attached to his constituency profile largely concern his predecessor Harry Cohen's expenses scandals from 2008--2010, which are historical background rather than any reflection on Bailey himself, elected only in July 2024.

47.5%
Lab vote · 2024 GE
2
Councils overlapping the seat
8
Wards · 22 councillors
§ 01The local picture — wards.8 wards · 22 councillors · 2 councils

Ward-level direction-of-travel: who controls what, who flipped recently, who holds the line. Each ward links to the council that runs it.

WardLatest winnerVotesCouncilLast cycle
Cann Hall(3 seats)Rayner · Green · Littlejohn5,487Waltham Forest LabMay 2022
Cathall(2 seats)O'Dea · Asghar2,257Waltham Forest LabMay 2022
Forest(3 seats)Berberi · Berberi · Malik5,988Waltham Forest LabMay 2022
Grove Green(3 seats)Mbachu · Limbajee · Rasool4,618Waltham Forest LabMay 2022
Leytonstone(3 seats)Loakes · Gray · Pye5,545Waltham Forest LabMay 2022
South Woodford(3 seats)Brewer · Hehir · Hussain5,267Redbridge LabMay 2022
Wanstead Park(2 seats)Alaba · Bain3,004Redbridge LabMay 2022
Wanstead Village(3 seats)Morgan-Thomas · Blackman · Donovan5,588Redbridge LabMay 2022

Source · Democracy Club · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (CC BY-SA 4.0)

§ 02Settlements.2 named places

The seat’s population is concentrated in Waltham Forest (83,582), with Redbridge (31,448) as the second pole. Total population across named built-up areas: 115,030.

city 115,030

Source · ONS Built-Up Areas · Census 2021

SettlementPop.Class
Waltham Forest83,582city
Redbridge31,448city
§ 03Demographics.Census 2021 · vs national avg

Headline indicators.

IndicatorLocalNationalΔ
Employment rate63.9%57.1%+12%
Owner-occupied49.4%63.1%-22%
Private rented31.7%20.0%+59%
Social rented18.8%16.8%+12%

Ethnicity.

White52.3%
Asian22.7%
Black13.6%
Mixed6.4%
Other5.0%

Source · Census 2021

Population by age & sexCensus 2021 · 18 bands · click to expand
Male 49.2% Female 50.8% Median seat
MaleAgeFemale
85+
80-84
75-79
70-74
65-69
60-64
55-59
50-54
45-49
40-44
35-39
30-34
25-29
20-24
16-19
10-15
5-9
0-4

Source · Census 2021 (ONS) · % of usual residents; tick marks the median seat per band

§ 04Local economy.Income · tax · businesses · schools
Median income
£33,100
HMRC SPI · 2024
Mean income
£47,800
HMRC SPI · 2024
Businesses
5,465
VAT/PAYE-registered
Schools
31
19 primary · 4 secondary
GCSE pass
72.4%
Attainment 8: 49.6

Income tax contribution.

Total income tax£593m
Taxpayers63,000
Median per taxpayer£3,670
Mean per taxpayer£9,480

Source · HMRC SPI · ±8% confidence

Where the money flows back in.

For council finance & suppliers

This constituency is served by Waltham Forest and Redbridge. Each council’s service spend, peer rank and supplier list lives on its own page — open from the meta block above or the compass strip below.

For household tax breakdown

Move the income slider on My place to see income tax, NI, VAT and council tax against your earnings — the household lens.

§ 05Recorded crime.data.police.uk · 12-month rolling

Headline rate.

Per 1k pop · 3mo
26.4
+28% vs national
Monthly avg / 1k
8.8
12-month rolling
Top category
Violence & sexual offences
24% of recorded crime

By category.

Violence & sexual offences6.3
Anti-social behaviour5.7
Shoplifting2.9
Vehicle crime2.2
Other theft1.8
Burglary1.4
Drugs1.3

Source · data.police.uk · 3-month rate per 1,000 pop

Showing 7 of 15·All 15 categories — full monthly trend & settlement breakdown
§ 06Election history.5 contests · created on 2023 boundaries

2024 — full result.

CandidateVotes%
Calvin BaileyWONLab20,75547.5
Charlotte LaffertyGrn6,79115.5
Gloria CroxallCon4,84611.1
Shanell JohnsonInd4,1739.5
Tara CopelandLD2,8156.4
David SandgroundRef2,4755.7
Mahtab AzizInd1,6333.7
Simon BezerInd2440.6

Turnout 43,732

Prior contests.

YearWinner%
2019John CryerLab64.7
2017John CryerLab69.8
2015John CryerLab58.6
2010Cryer, JohnLab43.6
Sources, methods & last update
Method The dispatch paragraphs are AI-generated from the public sources listed below. Every figure links to its source. If we’re wrong, please tell us — corrections within 48 hours.
BoundariesONS Open Geography Portal
2023 boundary review
Wards & councilsLGBCE · Democracy Club
DCLEAPIL v1.0 (CC BY-SA 4.0)
SettlementsONS Built-Up Areas
Census 2021
DemographicsONS · Nomis · Census 2021
National avg over 575 seats
Income & taxHMRC SPI
±8% confidence
SchoolsDfE · attainment data
Crimedata.police.uk
LSOA-aggregated · rolling 12mo
ElectionsElectoral Commission