The placeConstituency · London · Electorate 75,438 · 2023 boundaries

Hornchurch and Upminster.

Conservative and Unionist Party MP Julia Lopez holds the seat on 32.5% of the vote.

Member of ParliamentJulia Lopez · Conservative and Unionist Party
CouncilHavering
Boundary set2023
ONS codeE14001292
Electorate · 2024
75.4k
Registered to vote
2024 GE — winner
32.5%
Conservative and Unionist Party · +4.1pp over Ref
Settlements
2
Largest: Havering
Crime · per 1k pop · 3mo
17.3
data.police.uk · 12mo rolling
Dispatch
1 Jun 2026

A consistent party-line voter, Julia Lopez has spent recent weeks performing standard opposition duties -- backing Conservative amendments to the King's Speech, voting to block the Steel Industry (Nationalisation) Bill, and supporting the referral of Keir Starmer to the Privileges Committee over the Mandelson appointment. None of these represent departures from her party; she has not cast a single rebel vote since the 2024 election. Her most distinctive recent vote was opposing the government's reserve power to direct pension fund investments, a provision the Lords rejected three times before the Commons restored it.

Her voting participation sits at 73% -- somewhat below the Commons average -- and her stance profile is strongly Conservative in shape: near-total alignment with pro-business and anti-employer-NI-increase positions, and consistent opposition to workers' rights and progressive taxation measures. Her speeches, spread across 111 contributions in 56 debates, concentrate on economy and jobs, crime, education, and immigration. She deviates from her party's average on armed forces welfare votes, backing that position around 20 percentage points less often than her colleagues, though the reasons are unclear from available data.

Outside Westminster, Lopez's local profile is active. She led a successful campaign to save Harold Hill Post Office from closure, has hosted eleven job and training fairs at the Queen's Theatre, lobbied Health Secretary Wes Streeting directly on A&E conditions at Queen's Hospital, and formally opposed a contested Rainham quarry development. Local news coverage over the past 90 days is high-volume but broadly neutral across housing, local government, and crime stories. She holds no committee seats in the current Parliament.

32.5%
Con vote · 2024 GE
1
Council overlapping the seat
8
Wards · 22 councillors
§ 01The local picture — wards.8 wards · 22 councillors

Ward-level direction-of-travel: who controls what, who flipped recently, who holds the line.

WardLatest winnerVotesCouncilLast cycle
Cranham(3 seats)Ford · Tyler · Tyler7,435Havering ConMay 2026
Emerson Park(2 seats)Godwin · Garrard3,010Havering ConMay 2022
Gooshays(3 seats)Prince · Tyler · Whitton4,991Havering ConMay 2026
Hacton(2 seats)Morgon · Whitney4,439Havering ConMay 2022
Harold Wood(3 seats)Eagling · Wise · Goode5,777Havering ConMay 2022
Heaton(3 seats)Walker · Darvill · Anderson3,620Havering ConMay 2022
St Andrews(3 seats)Cowie · Brown · Attree6,581Havering ConMay 2026
Upminster(3 seats)Wilkins · Fisher · Ford7,944Havering ConMay 2026

Source · Democracy Club · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (CC BY-SA 4.0)

§ 02Settlements.2 named places

The seat’s population is concentrated in Havering (105,073), with Rural & dispersed (1,705) as the second pole. Total population across named built-up areas: 106,778.

city 105,073village 1,705

Source · ONS Built-Up Areas · Census 2021

SettlementPop.Class
Havering105,073city
Rural & dispersed1,705village
§ 03Demographics.Census 2021 · vs national avg

Headline indicators.

IndicatorLocalNationalΔ
Employment rate58.4%57.1%+2%
Owner-occupied71.3%63.1%+13%
Private rented13.1%20.0%-35%
Social rented15.5%16.8%-8%

Ethnicity.

White80.0%
Asian8.2%
Black7.0%
Mixed3.3%
Other1.6%

Source · Census 2021

Population by age & sexCensus 2021 · 18 bands · click to expand
Male 48.2% Female 51.8% Median seat
MaleAgeFemale
85+
80-84
75-79
70-74
65-69
60-64
55-59
50-54
45-49
40-44
35-39
30-34
25-29
20-24
16-19
10-15
5-9
0-4

Source · Census 2021 (ONS) · % of usual residents; tick marks the median seat per band

§ 04Local economy.Income · tax · businesses · schools
Median income
£33,500
HMRC SPI · 2024
Mean income
£45,800
HMRC SPI · 2024
Businesses
4,185
VAT/PAYE-registered
Schools
40
22 primary · 10 secondary
GCSE pass
72.5%
Attainment 8: 49.4

Income tax contribution.

Total income tax£478m
Taxpayers56,000
Median per taxpayer£3,740
Mean per taxpayer£8,600

Source · HMRC SPI · ±8% confidence

Where the money flows back in.

For council finance & suppliers

This constituency is served by Havering. Each council’s service spend, peer rank and supplier list lives on its own page — open from the meta block above or the compass strip below.

For household tax breakdown

Move the income slider on My place to see income tax, NI, VAT and council tax against your earnings — the household lens.

§ 05Recorded crime.data.police.uk · 12-month rolling

Headline rate.

Per 1k pop · 3mo
17.3
-16% vs national
Monthly avg / 1k
5.8
12-month rolling
Top category
Violence & sexual offences
28% of recorded crime

By category.

Violence & sexual offences4.8
Anti-social behaviour3.9
Vehicle crime1.8
Shoplifting1.1
Criminal damage & arson1.1
Drugs1.1
Other theft1.0

Source · data.police.uk · 3-month rate per 1,000 pop

Showing 7 of 15·All 15 categories — full monthly trend & settlement breakdown
§ 06Election history.5 contests · created on 2023 boundaries

2024 — full result.

CandidateVotes%
Julia LopezWONCon15,26032.5
Nicholas PalmerRef13,31728.4
Sunny BrarLab12,93927.6
Melanie CollinsGrn2,6205.6
Ian SandersonLD2,3815.1
David Warren DurantInd3940.8

Turnout 46,911

Prior contests.

YearWinner%
2019Julia LopezCon65.8
2017Julia DockerillCon60.2
2015Angela WatkinsonCon49.0
2010Watkinson, AngelaCon51.5
Sources, methods & last update
Method The dispatch paragraphs are AI-generated from the public sources listed below. Every figure links to its source. If we’re wrong, please tell us — corrections within 48 hours.
BoundariesONS Open Geography Portal
2023 boundary review
Wards & councilsLGBCE · Democracy Club
DCLEAPIL v1.0 (CC BY-SA 4.0)
SettlementsONS Built-Up Areas
Census 2021
DemographicsONS · Nomis · Census 2021
National avg over 575 seats
Income & taxHMRC SPI
±8% confidence
SchoolsDfE · attainment data
Crimedata.police.uk
LSOA-aggregated · rolling 12mo
ElectionsElectoral Commission