The placeConstituency · London · Electorate 73,465 · 2023 boundaries

Hertsmere.

Conservative and Unionist Party MP Oliver Dowden holds the seat on 44.7% of the vote — a split-council geography across 2 councils.

Member of ParliamentOliver Dowden · Conservative and Unionist Party
CouncilsHertsmere · Welwyn Hatfield
Boundary set2023
ONS codeE14001284
Electorate · 2024
73.5k
Registered to vote
2024 GE — winner
44.7%
Conservative and Unionist Party · +16.6pp over Lab
Settlements
9
Largest: Borehamwood
Crime · per 1k pop · 3mo
19.8
data.police.uk · 12mo rolling
Dispatch
2 Jun 2026

Dowden's most notable recent act was backing assisted dying at Third Reading in June 2025 -- voting with Labour rebels to pass the Terminally Ill Adults (End of Life) Bill against his own party's majority. His position on the bill's detail was nuanced: he voted against two amendments but supported a third that would have closed the voluntary starvation loophole, suggesting qualified rather than unconditional support for the legislation as drafted. At 97.8% party alignment overall, these were rare deviations from the Conservative line.

His parliamentary pattern is broad and active. At 63% participation he falls below the Commons average, though this is not unusual for a former Cabinet minister -- Dowden served as Deputy Prime Minister until 2024. He speaks most frequently on the economy, defence, and fiscal policy, consistent with his senior frontbench background. Constituency work has been visible: he raised a contested Potters Bar HMO development in Parliament, met NHS trust leadership over mental health provision in Hertfordshire, challenged a care home provider over "repeated failures," and publicly defended parents arrested in a policing dispute he called an "incredible over-reach." His stance data shows notably stronger support for pension protection and armed forces welfare than his Conservative colleagues, and he aligns closely with Lords scrutiny positions (100%) -- reflected in his votes backing House of Lords amendments against the government on the English Devolution and Pension Schemes Bills.

Dowden holds no current committee seats, leaving his main formal outlet as chamber debates and written interventions. News coverage over the past 90 days -- 65 articles -- skews local, with education coverage carrying the most positive sentiment. Voting data and news archives are available from 2015; speech records are patchy for earlier periods.

44.7%
Con vote · 2024 GE
2
Councils overlapping the seat
16
Wards · 34 councillors
§ 01The local picture — wards.16 wards · 34 councillors · 2 councils

Ward-level direction-of-travel: who controls what, who flipped recently, who holds the line. Each ward links to the council that runs it.

WardLatest winnerVotesCouncilLast cycle
Aldenham East(2 seats)Rosehill · Selby1,820Hertsmere ConMay 2023
Aldenham West(2 seats)Clapper · Lambert1,634Hertsmere ConMay 2023
Bentley Heath The Royds John Martin Graham700Hertsmere ConMay 2026
Borehamwood Brookmeadow Glenn Briski478Hertsmere ConJul 2025
Borehamwood Cowley Hill(3 seats)Newmark · Smith · Butler2,803Hertsmere ConMay 2023
Borehamwood Hillside(3 seats)Kaza · Clarkson · Collins2,382Hertsmere ConMay 2023
Borehamwood Kenilworth(3 seats)Oakley · Rani · Kaza3,144Hertsmere ConMay 2023
Bushey Heath(2 seats)Morris · Quilty1,585Hertsmere ConMay 2023
Bushey Park(3 seats)Amron · Allen · Shah3,477Hertsmere ConMay 2023
Bushey St James(3 seats)Shenton · Handley · Ponder3,137Hertsmere ConMay 2023
Elstree(2 seats)Cohen · Bright1,677Hertsmere ConMay 2023
Northaw Cuffley Brian Seeger1,175Welwyn Hatfield LDMay 2026
Potters Bar Furzefield(2 seats)Myers · Gray1,647Hertsmere ConMay 2023
Potters Bar Oakmere(2 seats)Georgiou · Hodgson-Jones1,275Hertsmere ConMay 2023
Potters Bar Parkfield(2 seats)Sachdev · Sullivan1,545Hertsmere ConMay 2023
Shenley(2 seats)Susman · Hodgson-Jones1,181Hertsmere ConMay 2023

Source · Democracy Club · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (CC BY-SA 4.0)

§ 02Settlements.9 named places

The seat’s population is concentrated in Borehamwood (39,680), with Potters Bar (22,541) as the second pole. Total population across named built-up areas: 104,280.

large-town 57,525town 35,743village 11,012

Source · ONS Built-Up Areas · Census 2021

SettlementPop.Class
Borehamwood39,680large town
Potters Bar22,541town
Bushey17,845large town
Radlett8,185town
Rural & dispersed5,017town
Shenley4,324village
Showing 6 of 9·All 9 settlements
§ 03Demographics.Census 2021 · vs national avg

Headline indicators.

IndicatorLocalNationalΔ
Employment rate60.8%57.1%+6%
Owner-occupied66.4%63.1%+5%
Private rented16.9%20.0%-16%
Social rented16.7%16.8%-1%

Ethnicity.

White77.9%
Asian9.7%
Black4.8%
Mixed3.7%
Other4.0%

Source · Census 2021

Population by age & sexCensus 2021 · 18 bands · click to expand
Male 48.1% Female 51.9% Median seat
MaleAgeFemale
85+
80-84
75-79
70-74
65-69
60-64
55-59
50-54
45-49
40-44
35-39
30-34
25-29
20-24
16-19
10-15
5-9
0-4

Source · Census 2021 (ONS) · % of usual residents; tick marks the median seat per band

§ 04Local economy.Income · tax · businesses · schools
Median income
£34,800
HMRC SPI · 2024
Mean income
£59,600
HMRC SPI · 2024
Businesses
7,720
VAT/PAYE-registered
Schools
60
34 primary · 7 secondary
GCSE pass
67.5%
Attainment 8: 48.5

Income tax contribution.

Total income tax£783m
Taxpayers57,000
Median per taxpayer£3,790
Mean per taxpayer£13,800

Source · HMRC SPI · ±8% confidence

Where the money flows back in.

For council finance & suppliers

This constituency is served by Hertsmere and Welwyn Hatfield. Each council’s service spend, peer rank and supplier list lives on its own page — open from the meta block above or the compass strip below.

For household tax breakdown

Move the income slider on My place to see income tax, NI, VAT and council tax against your earnings — the household lens.

§ 05Recorded crime.data.police.uk · 12-month rolling

Headline rate.

Per 1k pop · 3mo
19.8
-4% vs national
Monthly avg / 1k
6.6
12-month rolling
Top category
Violence & sexual offences
33% of recorded crime

By category.

Violence & sexual offences6.5
Anti-social behaviour3.7
Other theft1.9
Vehicle crime1.3
Drugs1.2
Criminal damage & arson1.2
Shoplifting1.1

Source · data.police.uk · 3-month rate per 1,000 pop

Showing 7 of 15·All 15 categories — full monthly trend & settlement breakdown
§ 06Election history.5 contests · created on 2023 boundaries

2024 — full result.

CandidateVotes%
Oliver DowdenWONCon21,45144.7
Josh TapperLab13,45928.0
Darren SelkusRef6,58413.7
Emma MatanleLD3,7107.7
John HumphriesGrn2,2674.7
Ray BolsterInd5361.1

Turnout 48,007

Prior contests.

YearWinner%
2019Oliver DowdenCon62.5
2017Oliver DowdenCon61.1
2015Oliver DowdenCon59.3
2010Clappison, JamesCon56.0
Sources, methods & last update
Method The dispatch paragraphs are AI-generated from the public sources listed below. Every figure links to its source. If we’re wrong, please tell us — corrections within 48 hours.
BoundariesONS Open Geography Portal
2023 boundary review
Wards & councilsLGBCE · Democracy Club
DCLEAPIL v1.0 (CC BY-SA 4.0)
SettlementsONS Built-Up Areas
Census 2021
DemographicsONS · Nomis · Census 2021
National avg over 575 seats
Income & taxHMRC SPI
±8% confidence
SchoolsDfE · attainment data
Crimedata.police.uk
LSOA-aggregated · rolling 12mo
ElectionsElectoral Commission