The placeConstituency · Wales · Electorate 74,005 · 2023 boundaries

Caerfyrddin.

Plaid Cymru MP Ann Davies holds the seat on 34.0% of the vote.

Member of ParliamentAnn Davies · Plaid Cymru
CouncilCarmarthenshire
Boundary set2023
ONS codeW07000087
Electorate · 2024
74.0k
Registered to vote
2024 GE — winner
34.0%
Plaid Cymru · +9.9pp over Lab
Settlements
17
Largest: Rural & dispersed
Crime · per 1k pop · 3mo
19.5
data.police.uk · 12mo rolling
Dispatch
1 Jun 2026

Plaid Cymru's Caerfyrddin MP has been one of the most consistent opponents of assisted dying legislation in the current Parliament. Ann Davies voted against the Terminally Ill Adults (End of Life) Bill at both Second and Third Reading -- breaking with the majority of her Plaid Cymru colleagues each time -- making her position among the clearest and most persistent rebel stances in her party on this issue. More recently she voted to refer Prime Minister Starmer to the Privileges Committee over the Mandelson appointment, opposed the government's asylum support regulations, and backed a King's Speech amendment signalling dissatisfaction with the government's legislative agenda -- a pattern that places her well to the left of Labour on welfare and civil liberties.

Her participation rate of 53% sits below the Commons average, though news coverage from September 2025 specifically noted that Plaid Cymru's new intake -- with Davies prominent among them -- led Welsh newcomers in Westminster activity. She votes with her party on 98.9% of divisions, deviating mainly on assisted dying and Lords scrutiny, where she is notably more resistant to government overrides than her Plaid colleagues. Her 175 contributions span 129 debates, with economy and jobs, local government, social care, and fiscal policy dominating her speech record. She has also spoken on coal tip safety, rural banking, and agricultural issues.

Davies sits on the Welsh Affairs Committee, and her speech topics align closely with a farming and rural background -- she was shortlisted for a Women in Agriculture award in early 2025. Recent news coverage, spread across 87 articles in the past 90 days, is largely neutral in tone, covering transport, crime, and community issues in Caerfyrddin. Detailed voting data covers 521 divisions since July 2024.

34.0%
Plaid vote · 2024 GE
1
Council overlapping the seat
29
Wards · 37 councillors
§ 01The local picture — wards.29 wards · 37 councillors

Ward-level direction-of-travel: who controls what, who flipped recently, who holds the line.

WardLatest winnerVotesCouncilLast cycle
Abergwili Neil Lewis730Carmarthenshire IndMay 2022
Ammanford(2 seats)Evans · Harries1,653Carmarthenshire IndMay 2022
Betws Betsan Wyn Jones494Carmarthenshire IndMay 2022
Carmarthen Town North South(3 seats)Lenny · John · Griffiths3,439Carmarthenshire IndMay 2022
Carmarthen Town West(2 seats)Schiavone · Sparks1,701Carmarthenshire IndMay 2022
Cenarth Llangeler(2 seats)Evans · Howell2,726Carmarthenshire IndMay 2022
Cilycwm Thomas Arwel Joseph Davies706Carmarthenshire IndMay 2022
Cwarter Bach Glynog Davies455Carmarthenshire IndMay 2022
Cynwyl Elfed Bryan Davies712Carmarthenshire IndMay 2022
Garnant Kevin Madge490Carmarthenshire IndMay 2022
Glanamman Emyr Rees423Carmarthenshire IndMay 2022
Laugharne Township Jane Tremlett382Carmarthenshire IndMay 2017
Llanboidy Dorian Phillips783Carmarthenshire IndMay 2022
Llanddarog Shone Hughes397Carmarthenshire IndMar 2025
Llandeilo Edward Gwynne Thomas827Carmarthenshire IndMay 2022
Llandovery Handel Lewis Davies770Carmarthenshire IndMay 2022
Llandybie(2 seats)Davies · Nicholas1,658Carmarthenshire IndMay 2022
Llanegwad Mansel Charles751Carmarthenshire IndMay 2022
Llanfihangel Aberbythych Hefin Jones426Carmarthenshire IndMay 2022
Llanfihangel Ar Arth Linda Davies Evans950Carmarthenshire IndMay 2022
Llangadog Andrew Davies446Carmarthenshire IndMay 2022
Llangunnor Elwyn Williams478Carmarthenshire IndMay 2022
Llanybydder Denise Owen602Carmarthenshire IndMay 2022
Manordeilo Salem Fiona Walters640Carmarthenshire IndMay 2022
Penygroes Dai Thomas453Carmarthenshire IndMay 2022
Saron(2 seats)Cooper · Davies1,328Carmarthenshire IndMay 2022
St Clears Llansteffan(2 seats)Jones · Hughes2,261Carmarthenshire IndMay 2022
Trelech Jean Lewis1,055Carmarthenshire IndMay 2022
Whitland Sue Allen544Carmarthenshire IndMay 2022

Source · Democracy Club · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (CC BY-SA 4.0)

§ 02Settlements.17 named places

The seat’s population is concentrated in Rural & dispersed (45,335), with Carmarthen (15,380) as the second pole. Total population across named built-up areas: 93,848.

large-town 45,335town 23,217village 25,296

Source · ONS Built-Up Areas · Census 2021

SettlementPop.Class
Rural & dispersed45,335large town
Carmarthen15,380town
Ammanford7,837town
Glanaman4,555village
Whitland2,381village
Newcastle Emlyn2,126village
Showing 6 of 17·All 17 settlements
§ 03Demographics.Census 2021 · vs national avg

Headline indicators.

IndicatorLocalNationalΔ
Employment rate52.7%57.1%-8%
Owner-occupied71.6%63.1%+13%
Private rented15.2%20.0%-24%
Social rented13.1%16.8%-22%

Ethnicity.

White97.1%
Asian1.2%
Black0.3%
Mixed1.0%
Other0.5%

Source · Census 2021

Population by age & sexCensus 2021 · 18 bands · click to expand
Male 48.9% Female 51.1% Median seat
MaleAgeFemale
85+
80-84
75-79
70-74
65-69
60-64
55-59
50-54
45-49
40-44
35-39
30-34
25-29
20-24
16-19
10-15
5-9
0-4

Source · Census 2021 (ONS) · % of usual residents; tick marks the median seat per band

§ 04Local economy.Income · tax · businesses · schools
Median income
£26,100
HMRC SPI · 2024
Mean income
£32,400
HMRC SPI · 2024
Businesses
5,320
VAT/PAYE-registered
Schools
60
0 primary · 0 secondary

Income tax contribution.

Total income tax£191m
Taxpayers46,000
Median per taxpayer£2,480
Mean per taxpayer£4,100

Source · HMRC SPI · ±8% confidence

Where the money flows back in.

For council finance & suppliers

This constituency is served by Carmarthenshire. Each council’s service spend, peer rank and supplier list lives on its own page — open from the meta block above or the compass strip below.

For household tax breakdown

Move the income slider on My place to see income tax, NI, VAT and council tax against your earnings — the household lens.

§ 05Recorded crime.data.police.uk · 12-month rolling

Headline rate.

Per 1k pop · 3mo
19.5
-6% vs national
Monthly avg / 1k
6.5
12-month rolling
Top category
Violence & sexual offences
49% of recorded crime

By category.

Violence & sexual offences9.6
Criminal damage & arson1.5
Public order1.5
Anti-social behaviour1.5
Shoplifting1.3
Other theft1.3
Drugs0.8

Source · data.police.uk · 3-month rate per 1,000 pop

Showing 7 of 15·All 15 categories — full monthly trend & settlement breakdown
§ 06Election history.1 contest · created on 2023 boundaries

2024 — full result.

CandidateVotes%
Ann DaviesWONPlaid15,52034.0
Martha O'NeilLab10,98524.1
Simon HartCon8,82519.4
Bernard HoltonRef6,94415.2
Nick BeckettLD1,4613.2
Will BeasleyGrn1,3713.0
Nancy ColeInd2820.6
David EvansInd2160.5

Turnout 45,604

Prior contests.

Created on the 2023 boundary review. 2024 General Election was the first contest on these boundaries.

Sources, methods & last update
Method The dispatch paragraphs are AI-generated from the public sources listed below. Every figure links to its source. If we’re wrong, please tell us — corrections within 48 hours.
BoundariesONS Open Geography Portal
2023 boundary review
Wards & councilsLGBCE · Democracy Club
DCLEAPIL v1.0 (CC BY-SA 4.0)
SettlementsONS Built-Up Areas
Census 2021
DemographicsONS · Nomis · Census 2021
National avg over 575 seats
Income & taxHMRC SPI
±8% confidence
SchoolsDfE · attainment data
Crimedata.police.uk
LSOA-aggregated · rolling 12mo
ElectionsElectoral Commission